International diplomacy is moving at breakneck speed in an attempt to end the devastating conflict in Gaza. Yet, it remains uncertain whether this will lead to tangible progress or simply become another failed peace effort, like many in the past.
At the center of the efforts lies US President Donald Trump’s peace plan, which is divided into two main parts:
- Phase one: An immediate ceasefire and the release of hostages.
- Phase two: A broader peace agreement in the region, including the long-term prospect of Palestinian statehood.
Hostage release & ceasefire within reach
While achieving a ceasefire seems more realistic than resolving the decades-long Israeli-Palestinian conflict, serious challenges remain. According to Sky News, Hamas has shown willingness to accept parts of the plan. After nearly two years of heavy fighting, signs indicate that the region may finally be heading toward a sustainable ceasefire, along with the release of remaining hostages.
However, Hamas’s response includes warnings and conditions:
- Uncertainty about the withdrawal of Israeli troops.
- Refusal to disarm, a non-negotiable condition for both the US and Israel.
- Delays in hostage release due to logistical issues, with officials saying it cannot happen within 72 hours.
Pressure on Hamas & doubts over implementation
Hamas is under mounting pressure, not only from the US but also from several Arab states, leaving it little choice but to come to the negotiating table. Still, much of the agreement relies on trust in Donald Trump’s word—a risky foundation, as the enforcement mechanism remains unclear.
The bigger picture: 20-point plan with no clarity
The wider peace plan reportedly includes 20 points, but lacks detail on key issues:
- Borders
- Reconstruction of Gaza
- Security guarantees
- Palestinian self-determination
- Future governance structures
These unresolved points are the same “radioactive issues” that have doomed every previous Middle East peace attempt.
Shifts on the ground
For the first time, a US president has formally asked Israel to halt bombardments in Gaza. Meanwhile, the Israeli military has reportedly shifted to a defensive posture, a move seen as a sign of Trump’s personal influence at this critical stage.
Outlook: A fragile opportunity
For now, the situation suggests that we may be at the beginning of the end of active fighting—but not necessarily on the verge of lasting peace. Still, this may be the closest opportunity in years to push the region toward a meaningful peace agreement.