U.S. President Donald Trump escalated rhetoric against Iran on Wednesday, suggesting that if Tehran does not comply with a set of demands from the U.S. government, a rapid and forceful military strike could follow.
The threat comes as the aircraft carrier Abraham Lincoln, along with supporting warships, bombers, and fighter jets, took positions in the region within striking distance of Iran.
Trump did not provide details of the demanded agreement, only stating that a “massive military force” was headed toward Iran and that the country needed to make a deal. However, according to U.S. and European officials cited by the New York Times, the three key demands presented to Iran are:
- Permanent cessation of all uranium enrichment and destruction of existing enriched uranium stockpiles.
- Limits on the range and number of ballistic missiles.
- Ending support for Iran-backed proxy groups in the Middle East, including Hamas, Hezbollah, and the Huthis in Yemen.
The report notes that there is no mention of supporting Iranian protesters who took to the streets in December, despite Trump’s earlier social media promises to help them.
Analysis of U.S. Demands
Uranium Enrichment:
The first demand—halting all enrichment and destroying stockpiles—would be difficult to verify. Under the 2015 Iran nuclear deal with the Obama administration, Iran relinquished about 97% of its enriched uranium, which was shipped abroad. Key enrichment facilities at Natanz and Fordow were heavily damaged last June and are unlikely to reopen.
However, uranium enrichment remains possible in smaller, concealable facilities. If Iran accessed already-enriched uranium (~60% purity, just below weapons-grade) buried during previous strikes, it could theoretically produce fuel for a small number of weapons. Intelligence officials say there is no evidence Iran currently has access to this buried stock.
Ballistic Missiles:
The second demand—limiting missile range and quantity—would make it nearly impossible for Iran to strike Israeli territory. These missiles represent Iran’s main deterrent against a renewed Israeli attack. While such an attack is not imminent, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has warned of further strikes if Iran re-arms.
Proxy Support:
The third demand—halting support for Iranian proxy forces—may be the easiest for Tehran to meet. The Iranian economy is severely weakened, its currency has hit record lows, and the government has limited resources to support its allies, many of whom are facing intense Israeli attacks.
