BELGRADE, Feb 3 (Jutarnji List) – As student protests against Aleksandar Vučić’s rule reach their peak, speculation is growing that some of his closest associates have already packed their bags, sensing an inevitable shift in Serbia’s political landscape.
The two-month-long demonstrations in Novi Sad have escalated into a broader movement against corruption, authoritarianism, and media control, shaking the foundations of Vučić’s administration. Despite the pressure, the Serbian president remains defiant, backed by a media apparatus still loyal to him.
Protests at a Crossroads
Observers suggest that February could be decisive. Political analyst Srećko Đukić warns that the crisis must be resolved in the coming weeks:
“Vučić is waiting, but these are crucial days for him. His ship is slowly sinking.”
Rumors are circulating that key allies have secured their wealth abroad, with destinations like Trieste, Hungary, and even Russia frequently mentioned.
Three Possible Outcomes
As tensions rise, three scenarios appear possible:
- Protest Fatigue: If demonstrators fail to achieve their demands, momentum could wane, allowing Vučić to outlast the movement, as he has done in past crises.
- Harsh Crackdown: While an extreme response akin to China’s Tiananmen Square in 1989 is unlikely, forceful suppression could backfire, further destabilizing Vučić’s rule.
- A Final Push: If protesters escalate their efforts, Vučić’s departure or a transitional government could become inevitable.
What Comes After Vučić?
Even if Vučić falls, his deeply entrenched system remains intact. Institutions, media, and nationalist ideology tied to “Srpski svet” (Serbian World) could pose challenges for any new leadership.
Without a clear political alternative, Serbia risks prolonged instability. The absence of a figure like Zoran Đinđić, a leader capable of implementing meaningful reforms, remains a key concern.
For now, Serbia stands at a crossroads, with the next few weeks crucial in shaping its future.