European Intelligence: Fear of Assassination and Coup Plots in the Kremlin

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A leaked report from a European intelligence agency, obtained by CNN and other major outlets on May 5, 2026, paints a picture of a Russian President increasingly isolated and consumed by paranoia. According to the document, the Kremlin has drastically overhauled personal security for Vladimir Putin, citing credible fears of a coup d’état and high-tech assassination attempts.

Extreme New Security Protocols

The report details a series of stringent measures implemented to shield Putin from both internal and external threats:

  • Total Isolation of Staff: Chefs, bodyguards, and even photographers are now banned from using public transportation.
  • Tech Bans: Staff members working in close proximity to the President are restricted to using mobile phones without internet access to prevent electronic tracking or hacking.
  • Monitoring Internal Circles: Surveillance systems have been installed in the private homes of Putin’s closest inner-circle staff.
  • The “Bunker” Lifestyle: Intelligence suggests Putin has spent weeks at a time in upgraded bunkers, primarily in the Krasnodar region, avoiding his traditional residences in Moscow and Valdai.

Fears of a “Coup” and the Role of Sergei Shoigu

The most explosive claim in the intelligence file concerns Sergei Shoigu, the former Defense Minister and current Secretary of the Security Council.

  • The Shoigu Risk: Despite his long-standing loyalty, Shoigu is now cited as a primary figure “linked to the risk of a coup” due to his enduring influence within the high military command.
  • Elite Fragmentation: The arrest of Shoigu’s close associate, Ruslan Tsalikov, on March 5, 2026, is viewed as a breach of the “silent protection pacts” among the Russian elite, signaling that Shoigu himself may be the next target of a judicial purge.

Strategic Paranoia and Tactical Failures

The intelligence report attributes this heightened security to several key factors:

  1. High-Profile Assassinations: The killing of Lieutenant General Fanil Sarvarov in Moscow on December 22, 2025 (allegedly by Ukrainian agents), caused a fierce rift between military chief Valery Gerasimov and FSB head Alexander Bortnikov.
  2. Drone Threats: Putin is reportedly “particularly cautious” about the use of drones for assassination attempts, especially those launched by disgruntled members of the Russian political elite.
  3. Frontline Stagnation: With Russian losses estimated at 30,000 dead and wounded per month and continued drone strikes deep inside Russia, the internal pressure on the Kremlin has reached an “unsustainable” level.

The Appearance of Normality

To mask Putin’s physical absence from the front lines and official facilities, the Kremlin has reportedly resorted to releasing pre-recorded footage (canned videos) of the President to give the illusion of his active presence. This was particularly evident during the preparations for the May 9 Victory Day parade, which this year will proceed without heavy military hardware due to what Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov called “terrorist threats” from long-range Ukrainian drones.